Why didn’t Canadian Fixed Rates drop?

General Larry Heran 4 Jan

Lately, I’ve been getting a lot of questions from clients wondering why Canadian Fixed Rates aren’t budging, even though the Bank of Canada keeps dropping rates. I get it — it can be frustrating to see Canadian variable rates moving down while Canadian Fixed Rates seem stuck.

After the first and second rate drops, Canadian Fixed

Rates followed suit, but this last time, nothing really changed. Some lenders even nudged their fixed rates up a bit. I know that can feel confusing, but there’s actually a simple reason for it.

Here’s the deal — fixed rates in Canada are tied directly to bond yields, especially the 5-year bond. When those bonds are volatile, fixed rates tend to hold or even go up. It’s not really about what the Bank of Canada does with its rates, but rather how the bond market reacts.

Bank of Canada
Canada’s Central Bank

A lot of people don’t realize you can track the 5-year bond yourself. I often recommend YCharts (https://ycharts.com/indicators/canada_5_year_benchmark_bond_yield) as a great resource to stay on top of bond movements. If you see bond yields drop, you can literally reach out to lenders that day and ask about their fixed rates. Sometimes they’ll adjust quickly, but often they wait to see if the bond levels hold.

I remember chatting about this in one of my podcast episodes, The Money Storm Show, and our partners at Brightcap Financial – national commercial mortgage specialists – have echoed the same advice (https://www.brightcapfinancial.ca/). They’re always watching bond yields and how lenders react.

It’s important to stay patient. Unlike the stock market, which reacts in real time, lenders tend to move slower. They wait for stability in bond yields before making big adjustments. So, if you’re waiting for fixed rates to drop, just know it’s a matter of time. The market always finds its level.

In the meantime, I’ll keep an eye on things and share updates as they happen.

Key Factors Affecting Fixed Mortgage Rates:

  1. Bond YieldsFixed mortgage rates often move in tandem with Government of Canada bond yields, especially the 5-year bond. When bond yields rise, lenders face higher costs of borrowing and typically pass those costs on to consumers through higher mortgage rates. Bond yields have been increasing recently, and that’s been reflected in the uptick in fixed mortgage rates.
  2. Bank of Canada’s Overnight RateWhile the overnight rate directly impacts variable mortgage rates, it indirectly affects fixed rates as well. When the Bank of Canada raises its key interest rate, investors might expect further hikes in the future, which drives bond yields higher. These rising yields result in higher fixed mortgage rates for borrowers.
  3. InflationInflation has been one of the biggest drivers of the recent rate hikes. To combat rising prices, the Bank of Canada has been raising its key interest rate, which pushes bond yields up and, in turn, raises fixed mortgage rates. When inflation expectations rise, investors demand higher yields on government bonds, leading to higher fixed rates.
  4. Economic GrowthA strong economy generally leads to higher interest rates, as central banks often raise rates to prevent the economy from overheating. This has been the case recently, with a strong recovery and continued growth prompting the Bank of Canada to increase its rates. This environment puts upward pressure on fixed mortgage rates as well.
  5. Lender’s Cost of BorrowingMortgage lenders borrow money to fund the mortgages they offer to clients. When their borrowing costs go up (due to higher bond yields or rising rates), they adjust their mortgage rates to reflect those increased costs. In the current economic climate, lenders are facing higher borrowing costs, which contributes to the higher fixed mortgage rates we’re seeing.

If you’re looking to stay informed on the latest mortgage trends, market updates, and tips to navigate these changes, be sure to check out my full blog at larryheran.com/blog. Stay ahead of the curve and make informed mortgage decisions with regular insights from my blog.

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Variable vs. Fixed: Navigating Today’s Mortgage Landscape in Canada

General Larry Heran 2 Jan

The Canadian mortgage market is currently experiencing a dynamic shift. After a period dominated by the three-year fixed rate, the variable rate mortgage is making a strong comeback. With the Bank of Canada prime rate currently at 5.45%, variable rate mortgages have become incredibly competitive, offering significant potential savings for borrowers.

The Dilemma: Variable vs. Fixed

Historically, variable rate mortgages have been the preferred choice for many Canadian borrowers. However, the recent period of rising interest rates saw the three-year fixed gain significant popularity. Now, with the potential for further rate cuts, the variable rate mortgage is regaining its appeal.

The Numbers

* Five-Year Fixed: As low as 4.34% for borrowers with 5% down.

* Five-Year Variable: Prime minus 85 basis points, translating to 4.60% at the current prime rate.

These are exclusive promotional rates available for a limited time. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to potentially save significantly on your mortgage payments.

This presents a compelling choice:

* Fixed Rate Mortgage: Offers certainty and peace of mind with a predictable monthly payment. No need to worry about fluctuating interest rates.

* Variable Rate Mortgage: Provides the potential for significant savings, especially if interest rates continue to decline.

Risk Tolerance: The Key Factor

Ultimately, the decision between fixed and variable hinges on individual risk tolerance and financial goals.

* Choose a Fixed Rate Mortgage if: You prioritize certainty and predictability. You prefer a consistent monthly payment and want to avoid the potential for rate increases.

* Choose a Variable Rate Mortgage if: You are comfortable with some level of uncertainty. You believe interest rates will continue to decline. You value the flexibility and potential for lower long-term costs.

Important Considerations:

* Penalty Costs: Variable rate mortgages typically have lower penalties for breaking the mortgage term.

* Term Length: If you plan to stay in your home for the long term (5+ years), a fixed rate mortgage may be a more suitable option.

City Centre Mortgages

These are exclusive promotional rates available for a limited time. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to potentially save significantly on your mortgage payments.

Contact City Centre Mortgages today to learn more about these competitive rates (prime minus 85 variable and 4.34% fixed) and to discuss your specific mortgage needs. We can help you determine the best option for your individual circumstances and guide you through the entire mortgage process.

Schedule a free consultation with one of our experienced mortgage specialists by visiting our website or calling us directly.

Disclaimer: This information is for general knowledge and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice.

Surrey Housing Market Update: What It Means for Your Home Purchase

General Larry Heran 2 Jan

Hello, I’m Larry Heran, and as the owner of City Centre Mortgages, based right here in the centre of the south in South Surrey, I always make it a priority to keep my clients informed about the local housing market in Surrey. The Surrey real estate market directly impacts your home buying decisions, and understanding the latest trends can give you a significant advantage in securing a more affordable home.

 

With over a decade of experience helping Surrey residents secure the right mortgage financing solutions, I know just how important it is to stay on top of the market. So, let’s dive into the latest Surrey housing stats and explore how they can affect your home purchasing decisions.

Surrey’s Housing Market Trends

As we move through 2024, the Surrey housing market is showing some interesting trends. In November, Surrey’s median list price was around $1.1 million, with homes taking an average of 66 days to sell. This marks a slight increase compared to the previous month, signaling that the market is stabilizing after some ups and downs earlier in the year.

As someone deeply involved in the mortgage industry, I can tell you that these shifts are significant, especially when considering how Canadian mortgage rates have been evolving. With the recent decrease in mortgage rates in Canada, many potential homebuyers are now able to enter the market with more purchasing power, which is helping to breathe life back into the Surrey real estate market.

However, it’s important to remember that even with decreasing rates, affordability can still be a challenge for some buyers. But with the right strategy and guidance, we can work together to help you make the best choice for your financial future.

Breaking Down Surrey’s Core Areas

At City Centre Mortgages, we work with clients from all across Surrey, and understanding the specific neighbourhood dynamics is key when navigating the housing market in Surrey. Here’s a quick overview of some of Surrey’s most sought-after areas:

South Surrey: This is my home turf, and I know it’s a favourite for families and first-time homebuyers. In November, homes in South Surrey were listed at a median price of $1.4 million, with properties generally staying on the market for about 63 days. It’s a competitive area, and I’ve helped many clients find their dream homes here.

Fraser Valley: Surrey is a central hub in the Fraser Valley, which is a growing and diverse region. Homes here are seeing more balanced activity, as the market returns to more seasonal norms. For those looking for a well-priced home in a vibrant community, Surrey offers a variety of options to explore.

Mortgage Rates and Affordability

One of the most important factors to consider when buying a home in Surrey is mortgage rates. Over the last few months, we’ve seen a decrease in Canadian mortgage rates, and this can make a big difference in your purchasing power. As rates drop, your mortgage pre-approval amount could be higher compared to what you would have been eligible for a year ago.

At City Centre Mortgages, I take great pride in keeping my clients informed about how these changes affect their ability to buy a home. While rates are coming down, affordability remains a top concern for many. That’s why I focus on finding the best mortgage solutions to suit your specific financial situation, ensuring that your monthly payments are manageable and that you’re not stretching your budget too thin.

Whether you’re buying your first home, upgrading, or refinancing, understanding how mortgage rates impact your financial picture is essential. With decreasing rates, now might be a great time to consider getting pre-approved for a mortgage and locking in a lower rate before things change again.

What Does This Mean for You?

With the current trends in Surrey’s housing market, it’s clear that we are moving into a more stable and buyer-friendly environment. As homes continue to be in demand, it’s essential to make informed decisions about your financing options. Lower mortgage rates can make homeownership more affordable for many buyers, but it’s crucial to work with an experienced mortgage broker who understands the nuances of the market.

At City Centre Mortgages, I’m here to help you navigate these changes. I take a personalized approach to every client, ensuring that you get the right mortgage solution for your needs. Whether you’re buying in South Surrey or anywhere in the Fraser Valley, my team and I are dedicated to making your homeownership dreams a reality.

Let’s Take the Next Step Together

If you’re considering purchasing a home in Surrey, now is a great time to reach out. With my deep knowledge of the local market in Surrey and the latest mortgage rate trends, I can help you make the best possible decision for your future. I’ll guide you through the mortgage process with ease and ensure you have the support you need at every step.

Contact me today to discuss how we can make your homeownership dreams come true.


Stay informed, stay confident, and let City Centre Mortgages help you find the right mortgage for your home purchase. I look forward to working with you!

Canada’s Immigration Slowdown: Impacts on Housing, Economy, and Mortgages

General Larry Heran 2 Jan

Introduction: The Canadian government’s recent decision to significantly reduce immigration targets for the next three years is poised to have a profound impact on the nation’s economy, including the housing market and the mortgage industry. This policy shift, aimed at “pausing population growth,” will undoubtedly have far-reaching consequences for Canadians across the country. This article will delve deeper into the potential impacts on these key sectors. 

 
Impact on the Housing Market
 
Reduced Demand: Lower immigration levels will likely lead to decreased demand for housing, particularly in major urban centers that have experienced rapid population growth in recent years. Cities like Toronto, Vancouver, and other major metropolitan areas, which have seen significant population increases fueled by immigration, may experience a slowdown in housing demand. This could potentially lead to a stabilization of housing prices in some markets. 
 
Potential for Price Corrections: Reduced demand could potentially lead to a cooling of the housing market and a slowdown in price growth, and in some overheated markets, may even lead to price corrections. This could offer some relief to prospective homebuyers who have been facing significant affordability challenges in recent years. 
 
Rental Market Impact: The impact on the rental market is less certain. Reduced demand could potentially ease rental pressures in some areas, while in others, limited supply could continue to drive up rental costs. However, it’s important to note that the rental market is influenced by various factors, including local job markets and overall economic conditions. 
 
 
Impact on the Economy
 
Labor Shortages: Reduced immigration could exacerbate existing labor shortages in certain sectors, potentially impacting economic growth. Industries reliant on immigrant labor, such as healthcare, hospitality, and agriculture, may face challenges in filling critical positions. This could lead to slower economic growth and potentially higher inflation. Data Point: According to Statistics Canada, immigrants accounted for approximately 30% of Canada’s workforce growth in recent years. A significant reduction in immigration could lead to a decline in labor force participation and potentially higher unemployment rates. 
 
Consumer Spending: Lower immigration could also impact consumer spending, as fewer newcomers enter the economy and contribute to economic activity. Immigrants often play a significant role in driving economic growth through their spending power and entrepreneurial endeavors. Data Point: Studies have shown that immigrants contribute significantly to consumer spending and economic growth. A reduction in immigration could lead to a decline in consumer spending and potentially slower economic growth. 
 
Long-term Economic Growth: The long-term impact on economic growth remains uncertain and will depend on various factors, including the government’s ability to address labor shortages through other means, such as increased domestic training programs and automation. However, some economists argue that reduced immigration could have a negative impact on long-term economic growth and productivity. 
 
Impact on the Mortgage Industry
 
Reduced Mortgage Demand: Lower immigration will likely lead to reduced demand for mortgages, as fewer newcomers enter the housing market. This could potentially lead to a slowdown in mortgage originations for lenders. 
 
Potential for Lower Interest Rates: Reduced demand for mortgages could potentially put downward pressure on interest rates, which could be beneficial for existing homeowners considering refinancing. However, the overall direction of interest rates is influenced by various factors, including inflation and the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy. 
 
Shifting Market Dynamics: The mortgage industry may need to adapt to changing market conditions. Lenders may need to explore new avenues for growth and diversification to maintain profitability in a changing landscape. 
 
Navigating the Changing Landscape
 
The recent changes to Canadian immigration policy will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the housing market, the economy, and the mortgage industry. 
 
Understanding Market Trends
 
Economic Factors: It’s crucial to consider the broader economic landscape, including factors such as inflation, interest rates, and unemployment rates, which can significantly impact the housing market. Data Point: The Bank of Canada closely monitors economic indicators such as inflation, unemployment, and GDP growth. These factors can significantly influence interest rates and overall economic conditions, which in turn impact the housing market and mortgage market. 
 
Market Conditions: Understanding whether the market is currently a buyer’s or seller’s market is essential for making informed decisions. For example, in a buyer’s market, buyers may have more negotiating power, while in a seller’s market, competition for homes may be more intense. 
 
Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice

Congratulations, Canadians: You’ve Likely Gained Significant Equity in Your Home Since 2019!

General Larry Heran 2 Jan

Over the past few years, Canada has experienced another major real estate boom—much like the record-breaking growth seen in 2016. This time, the surge in home values was driven by the pandemic, with low interest rates and increased demand pushing property prices higher across the country. As someone who’s been in the mortgage industry since 2010, I’ve seen market shifts, but the growth since 2019 has been one of the most significant yet.

I’ve always found it fascinating how real estate can quietly build wealth in the background. When I bought my first home, I didn’t think much about equity—it just felt like paying rent but to myself. But fast forward a few years, and it was incredible to see how much value had built up.

The Canadian Housing Market’s Growth

Since 2019, homeowners across the country have gained an average of $147,000 in equity. That’s roughly $29,400 per year. I know a few friends who were shocked when they checked their home value—one even joked that their house was earning more than they were!

Even with the ups and downs of mortgage rates, the overall trend has been positive. Some areas, of course, have seen bigger jumps than others, but owning a home in Canada has clearly been a solid investment.

Provincial Highlights: Where Homeowners Are Seeing the Most Growth

One thing I love about Canada is how different each province feels—and that extends to the housing market too. Some of the biggest gains have been in places like Ontario and BC, but I’ve been hearing more and more stories from people in Alberta and Quebec as well.

Ontario: I grew up hearing that owning a home in Toronto was out of reach. But even with rising interest rates, people kept buying, and prices climbed. Some of my clients who bought just before the pandemic are now sitting on significant equity.

British Columbia: Vancouver has always been a unique beast when it comes to housing. I remember visiting family there and thinking, “How does anyone afford this?” But despite the high prices, equity has grown, and it’s rewarding for those who stuck with it.

Alberta: Calgary, in particular, has seen more people moving in from other provinces. I’ve worked with a few clients who relocated from Vancouver and were thrilled by what they could buy in Alberta. Their home values have since appreciated significantly.

Quebec: Montreal’s steady growth has been impressive. I’ve heard from homeowners in the suburbs who bought during the early stages of the pandemic and are now seeing significant equity gains. One couple I spoke to shared how they purchased a home just outside Montreal in 2020, and by 2023, their property value had risen by over $100,000.

How to Use Your Home Equity Wisely

I always tell my clients—equity is a tool, not just a number. During the pandemic, when rates were at historic lows, many Canadians refinanced or took out home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) to invest back into their properties. It was a smart move for those who managed their finances carefully.

I remember working with a couple in Surrey who used their home equity to build a rental suite. Fast forward two years, and that rental income now covers half of their mortgage. That’s how powerful equity can be when used strategically.

Here are a few ways to leverage your equity:

Renovations – Upgrade your home and increase its market value.

Debt Consolidation – Use equity to pay off high-interest debt.

Investing in Real Estate – Consider purchasing a second property or rental unit.

However, I always caution clients—accessing equity should align with your long-term financial goals. I’ve seen situations where tapping into equity made sense, but I’ve also seen people borrow more than they needed and regret it later. If you’re unsure, it’s worth sitting down and running the numbers carefully.

Affordable Homeownership: New Programs for First-Time Buyers

I remember how intimidating it was buying my first home. Every dollar counted, and I didn’t know where to start. These days, I find myself telling clients about programs that can make the process a little easier:

First Home Savings Account (FHSA): This new program excites me the most. I wish something like this had been around when I was starting out. You can save up to $8,000 per year, and the money grows tax-free. I tell my younger clients to jump on this—it’s a no-brainer if you’re planning to buy a home.

Home Buyers’ Plan (HBP): I’ve seen this help a lot of people. Being able to pull $35,000 from an RRSP for a down payment can make all the difference.

First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit: It’s not a huge amount, but every little bit helps. I always tell people to take advantage of it if they qualify.

Looking Ahead: The Future of Home Equity and Affordability

One thing I’ve learned is that the housing market never stands still. The pandemic brought historically low rates, and people rushed to pay down their mortgages faster than ever. I know several clients who knocked years off their mortgage during that time, which boosted their equity even more.

As rates start to come down again and new programs like the FHSA gain traction, I feel optimistic about the future. I always say that understanding the market is key—when you know your options, you can make better decisions.

Top 10 BC Cities for Home Price Growth Since 2019

Latest News Larry Heran 2 Jan

The BC housing market has been on a wild ride since 2019, and this time the pandemic was the unexpected driver behind skyrocketing property values. It feels a lot like the 2016 boom when Vancouver and surrounding areas saw record-breaking appreciation—but this time, the growth extended across the province. As someone who’s spent over a decade helping people navigate mortgages, I’ve had a front-row seat to the action. Whether it’s big cities or small towns, the appreciation in home prices has been phenomenal. Now, lets move into the top 10 BC cities for home price growth since 2019.

  • Vancouver
    Vancouver has always been at the centre of BC’s housing market, and this time is no different. I remember working with a client who snagged a modest home in East Vancouver just before the pandemic. They were hesitant about the price tag then, but today, that home is worth nearly 40% more.
  • Surrey
    Surrey’s growth is something I’ve been proud to witness personally, being born and raised here. South Surrey, in particular, has seen a surge in home values. A family I worked with back in 2019 bought a townhouse, and they’re blown away by how much equity they’ve gained in just a few years.
  • Kelowna
    Kelowna has become a hotspot for people wanting to escape the bustle of city life. I’ve noticed a lot of young families making the move for the lifestyle and the space. One client shared how they sold their condo in Burnaby and moved to Kelowna, where they now own a larger home with incredible views.
  • Langley
    Langley’s charm is hard to resist, especially with all the new developments. I once had a friend tell me, “Langley feels like the perfect blend of city and country,” and they weren’t wrong. The market here has been on a steady climb, particularly for single-family homes.
  • Victoria
    Victoria’s steady growth feels like a given at this point. It’s no surprise, considering its appeal to retirees and remote workers. I’ve had clients from the Lower Mainland move here, and they always rave about the slower pace of life and stunning surroundings.
  • Chilliwack
    I love hearing stories about people finding their dream homes in Chilliwack. It’s a place where families are moving to stretch their budgets further without sacrificing community. The equity gains here have been impressive, and it’s exciting to see this area grow. I have been financing deals here with year over year growth.
  • Kamloops
    Kamloops is one of those places where you can still find great value. I’ve worked with clients who left Vancouver, bought a beautiful home here, and had leftover equity to invest elsewhere. It’s a reminder that location flexibility can be a game-changer.
  • Nanaimo
    Nanaimo’s coastal vibe has attracted a lot of attention recently. I know someone who made the leap during the pandemic, trading in a small condo in New Westminster for a home near the water. They’re loving the change, and their property value has shot up too.
  • Abbotsford
    Abbotsford’s mix of city convenience and rural charm has always been a draw. I’ve noticed more young families moving here, drawn by the affordability and community feel. One couple I worked with was thrilled to find a home with a backyard for their kids—something they couldn’t find closer to Vancouver.
  • Maple Ridge
    Maple Ridge has quietly become one of BC’s strongest performers. With new transit projects and ongoing development, it’s no wonder prices have climbed. I helped a long-time client of mine invest there in 2019, and they’ve since seen their home value increase significantly.

Why This Matters
Homeownership in BC has always been more than just having a roof over your head—it’s an investment. For those who’ve seen their equity grow, it’s a chance to explore new opportunities, whether that’s renovating, investing, or planning for the future. I can’t wait to see where the BC market goes next.